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2024-12-14 01:13:01
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Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.Guosheng Securities: AEC heavy-duty computing industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng. Guosheng Securities Research Report pointed out that AEC(Active Electrical Cable) is an active cable interconnection scheme, which is mainly used in short-distance high-speed data transmission scenarios in data centers. 1)AEC is expected to become the first step for optical module manufacturers to penetrate downwards. Optical modules need to master photoelectric conversion and high-speed data communication, and DAC/AEC/AOC products have relatively mature technical requirements compared with single-mode/multimode optical module products with longer transmission distance. 2) Copper interconnection is widely used by large CSP not only in NVIDIA. NVIDIA used a large number of high-density copper interconnects in B series products, which made the industry re-recognize the reliability and price advantage of copper interconnects in short-distance scenes. 3) In the era of Lian Heng, domestic manufacturers still have obvious advantages. Chip manufacturers, represented by NVIDIA, have been hoping to conduct a comprehensive industry consolidation and provide customers with a complete set of solutions. What CSP manufacturers want more is the decoupling of the industrial chain, and every link such as GPU, copper connection, optical module and switch can find corresponding suppliers. The heavy volume of AEC and the rise of CSP manufacturer's independent scheme indicate that the computing power industry chain has entered the era of Lian Heng, and we are firmly optimistic about the domestic related computing power industry chain.Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.


Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Japan's Topix index fell to 1%.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.


HKEx: The database of integrated fund platform funds was launched, and the database of integrated fund platform funds was announced by HKEx, covering more than 2,000 funds approved by the Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming at improving the information transparency of Hong Kong fund investment products.FTSE China A50 index futures opened 0.80% lower, and closed down 0.89% in the last session.The main contract of the container transport index (European line) rose by 150.2 points in the day, and now it is reported at 2567.8 points, an increase of 6.21%.

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